Who to start · 2025-26
MacKenzie Weegar vs Pavel Buchnevich
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games.
This week Weegar has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Buchnevich has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.5.
Pavel Buchnevich has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Weegar's biggest edges: Hits 167, Transition attempts /60 0.82, Penalty minutes 88.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1000, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.022, Goals above expected −0.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
MacKenzie Weegar
1.93
fantasy points per game
Pavel Buchnevich
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, MacKenzie Weegar has the edge.
| Points per game from | Weegar | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.09 | 0.46 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.24 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.07 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Weegar vs Buchnevich
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Weegar 2G 8A, 38 SOG · Buchnevich 8G 7A, 44 SOG
Weegar blocked 6 of Buchnevich's shots; Buchnevich blocked 2 of Weegar's.
On the ice against each other (Weegar's side)
16:12 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Weegar's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–15
- 53.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–1.2
- 30.0%
- Goals
- 0–3
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Weegar | Buchnevich |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | UTA 3–5 STL | 0G 2A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-11 | CGY 2–3 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-11 | CGY 2–4 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-16 | CGY 1–4 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-14 | CGY 1–2 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-12-05 | CGY 3–4 STL | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-28 | CGY 3–5 STL | 0G 2A 0S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2024-01-23 | CGY 3–4 STL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-26 | CGY 0–3 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2023-01-12 | CGY 4–1 STL | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-01-10 | CGY 3–4 STL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2022-12-16 | CGY 2–5 STL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 3S |
Latest 12 of 18 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
MacKenzie Weegar
3games (2 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start MacKenzie Weegar or Pavel Buchnevich in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Buchnevich had 48 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, MacKenzie Weegar or Pavel Buchnevich?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Buchnevich leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Weegar and Buchnevich done against each other?
- In 18 games against each other in our data, Weegar's team went 5–13. Weegar had 10 points (2 goals) and Buchnevich had 15 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →