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Who to start · 2025-26

MacKenzie Weegar vs Ryan O'Reilly

MacKenzie WeegarMacKenzie WeegarMammoth · DefencevsRyan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.

Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Weegar has 2 games left; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project Weegar for 3.7 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 1.7.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Weegar's biggest edges: Hits 167, Transition attempts /60 0.82, Penalty minutes 88.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Plus/minus +8, On-ice PDO 1023.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

MacKenzie Weegar

1.93

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, MacKenzie Weegar has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWeegarO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.090.58
Assists (+1)0.280.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.20
Hits (+0.1)0.240.03
Blocks (+0.5)1.070.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Weegar vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WeegarO'Reilly
10Team record in 20 meetings10
4Points in those games12

Weegar 1G 3A, 41 SOG · O'Reilly 7G 5A, 50 SOG

2Hits on each other0
1Shots blocked by the other3

Weegar blocked 1 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 3 of Weegar's.

On the ice against each other (Weegar's side)

23:43 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Weegar's side

Shot attempts
24–16
60.0%
Expected goals
0.8–1.1
42.3%
Goals
0–2

Games against each other

Games between MacKenzie Weegar and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreWeegarO'Reilly
2026-04-09UTA 4–1 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-03CGY 3–4 NSH0G 1A 4S0G 0A 4S
2025-12-02CGY 1–5 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2025-11-01CGY 2–4 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-04CGY 1–4 NSH0G 0A 3S3G 0A 6S
2024-11-15CGY 2–0 NSH0G 1A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-04CGY 6–3 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-22CGY 2–4 NSH0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-07CGY 4–2 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-03-02CGY 1–2 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-16CGY 2–5 STL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-12-07FLA 3–4 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 6S

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WeegarO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.9 pts
    Schedule edge −1.0 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.9 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL1.7 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start MacKenzie Weegar or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, MacKenzie Weegar or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Weegar and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, Weegar's team went 10–10. Weegar had 4 points (1 goals) and O'Reilly had 12 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →