Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

MacKenzie Weegar vs Tomas Hertl

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.

Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.

This week Weegar has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Hertl has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Weegar for 3.0 ESPN points to Hertl's 2.0.

Tomas Hertl has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Weegar's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.35, Transition attempts /60 0.82, Top skating speed 22.0.

Hertl's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Scoring chances 56.7%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

MacKenzie Weegar

1.93

fantasy points per game

Tomas Hertl

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, MacKenzie Weegar has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromWeegarHertl
Goals (+2)0.090.63
Assists (+1)0.280.37
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.27
Hits (+0.1)0.240.14
Blocks (+0.5)1.070.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Weegar vs Hertl

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

WeegarHertl
13Team record in 22 meetings9
15Points in those games14

Weegar 3G 12A, 34 SOG · Hertl 5G 9A, 55 SOG

5Hits on each other5
3Shots blocked by the other1

Weegar blocked 3 of Hertl's shots; Hertl blocked 1 of Weegar's.

On the ice against each other (Weegar's side)

48:10 at 5-on-5 over 10 games, 2025-26, from Weegar's side

Shot attempts
33–57
36.7%
Expected goals
1.2–2.3
33.1%
Goals
3–3

Games against each other

Games between MacKenzie Weegar and Tomas Hertl
DateScoreWeegarHertl
2026-05-01 · POUTA 1–5 VGK0G 1A 0S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-29 · POUTA 4–5 VGK0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2026-04-27 · POUTA 4–5 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-24 · POUTA 4–2 VGK1G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-21 · POUTA 3–2 VGK1G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-19 · POUTA 2–4 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2026-03-19UTA 4–0 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-20CGY 6–3 VGK0G 3A 2S0G 1A 6S
2025-10-18CGY 1–6 VGK0G 1A 1S1G 1A 3S
2025-10-14CGY 2–4 VGK0G 1A 0S1G 1A 2S
2025-04-15CGY 5–4 VGK0G 1A 3S1G 1A 3S
2024-12-29CGY 0–3 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 22 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

WeegarHertl

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

MacKenzie Weegar

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Tomas Hertl

3games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to CLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start MacKenzie Weegar or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, MacKenzie Weegar projects to 1.93 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Weegar had 28 points in 79 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, MacKenzie Weegar or Tomas Hertl?
On 2025-26 numbers, Tomas Hertl leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Weegar and Hertl done against each other?
In 22 games against each other in our data, Weegar's team went 13–9. Weegar had 15 points (3 goals) and Hertl had 14 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →