Who to start · 2025-26
Macklin Celebrini vs Mitch Marner
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.
Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.
This week Celebrini has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Marner's 2.3.
Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Celebrini's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 186, Hardest shot 97.9, Ascension score 62.
Marner's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, High-danger chances 59.0%, Fenwick 55.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Macklin Celebrini
3.00
fantasy points per game
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.
| Points per game from | Celebrini | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.52 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Marner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Celebrini 1G 2A, 10 SOG · Marner 3G 5A, 15 SOG
Celebrini's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 4–1 · Celebrini's defensive zone 1–0 (2025-26)
Celebrini blocked 2 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 0 of Celebrini's.
On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)
17:07 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–16
- 46.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–1.0
- 7.1%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Celebrini | Marner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | SJS 2–7 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-12-23 | SJS 2–7 VGK | 1G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 5S |
| 2025-11-29 | SJS 3–4 VGK | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-10-09 | SJS 3–4 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-27 | SJS 6–5 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2025-03-03 | SJS 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Macklin Celebrini
2games (1 left)
3.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 ptsOpp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANAOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Mitch Marner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Celebrini and Marner done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 2–4. Celebrini had 3 points (1 goals) and Marner had 8 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Celebrini or Marner?
- Against each other, Celebrini has won 6 and Marner 3 of their 9 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →