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Who to start · 2025-26

Macklin Celebrini vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19.

Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Celebrini has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Celebrini for 3.0 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.3.

Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Celebrini's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Luck Meter +77, Blocked shots 53.

Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Fenwick 59.7%, Corsi 60.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Macklin Celebrini

2.89

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromCelebriniJarvis
Goals (+2)1.100.90
Assists (+1)0.850.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.32
Hits (+0.1)0.060.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.320.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

CelebriniJarvis
1Team record in 4 meetings3
4Points in those games2

Celebrini 1G 3A, 6 SOG · Jarvis 1G 1A, 4 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other1

Celebrini's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 2–0 · Celebrini's defensive zone 0–1 (2025-26)

1Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Celebrini blocked 1 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 0 of Celebrini's.

On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)

16:51 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side

Shot attempts
7–29
19.4%
Expected goals
0.3–1.0
24.5%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Macklin Celebrini and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreCelebriniJarvis
2025-12-07SJS 4–1 CAR1G 2A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-14SJS 1–5 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-03-20SJS 1–3 CAR0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-12-10SJS 2–3 CAR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

CelebriniJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Macklin Celebrini

2games (1 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK3.0 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to C

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RW
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Seth Jarvis's 2.19. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Celebrini and Jarvis done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 1–3. Celebrini had 4 points (1 goals) and Jarvis had 2 (1 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Celebrini or Jarvis?
Against each other, Celebrini has won 2 and Jarvis 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →