Who to start · 2025-26
Macklin Celebrini vs Tomas Hertl
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88.
Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games.
This week Celebrini has 1 game left; Hertl has 1 left. We project Celebrini for 2.9 ESPN points to Hertl's 1.8.
Macklin Celebrini has the better number in 22 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Celebrini's biggest edges: Goals above expected +5.9, Luck Meter +76, On-ice PDO 1036.
Hertl's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.2%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.010, Fenwick 55.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Celebrini leads Hertl 6–5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 7 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Macklin Celebrini
3.00
fantasy points per game
Tomas Hertl
1.88
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Macklin Celebrini has the edge.
| Points per game from | Celebrini | Hertl |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.03 | 0.63 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.99 | 0.37 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Celebrini vs Hertl
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Celebrini 1G 2A, 11 SOG · Hertl 6G 4A, 16 SOG
Celebrini's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 1–5 · Celebrini's defensive zone 3–0 (2024-25 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Celebrini's side)
10:03 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Celebrini's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–11
- 42.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–0.3
- 74.7%
- Goals
- 2–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Celebrini | Hertl |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | SJS 2–7 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 3A 3S |
| 2025-12-23 | SJS 2–7 VGK | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-29 | SJS 3–4 VGK | 0G 1A 4S | 2G 0A 3S |
| 2025-10-09 | SJS 3–4 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-07 | SJS 2–4 VGK | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-27 | SJS 3–6 VGK | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Macklin Celebrini
2games (1 left)
2.9proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK2.9 pts
Tomas Hertl
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Macklin Celebrini or Tomas Hertl in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Macklin Celebrini projects to 3.00 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tomas Hertl's 1.88. Celebrini had 115 points in 82 games; Hertl had 58 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Macklin Celebrini or Tomas Hertl?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Macklin Celebrini leads in 22 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Celebrini and Hertl done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Celebrini's team went 0–6. Celebrini had 3 points (1 goals) and Hertl had 10 (6 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Celebrini or Hertl?
- Against each other, Celebrini has won 6 and Hertl 5 of their 11 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →