Who to start · 2025-26
Mario Ferraro vs Morgan Rielly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.
Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.
This week Ferraro has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project Ferraro for 1.6 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.
Morgan Rielly has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Hardest shot 95.6, Hits 137, Plus/minus −1.
Rielly's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Offensive-zone time 43.7%, Power-play share 59.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mario Ferraro
1.71
fantasy points per game
Morgan Rielly
1.61
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mario Ferraro has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ferraro | Rielly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.95 | 0.67 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ferraro vs Rielly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ferraro 0G 1A, 12 SOG · Rielly 2G 6A, 16 SOG
Ferraro blocked 1 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 1 of Ferraro's.
On the ice against each other (Ferraro's side)
14:05 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ferraro's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–14
- 53.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.4
- 68.2%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ferraro | Rielly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | SJS 4–1 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-12-11 | SJS 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-03-27 | SJS 6–5 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-03 | SJS 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-09 | SJS 1–7 TOR | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 6S |
| 2024-01-06 | SJS 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-10-27 | SJS 4–3 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2021-11-26 | SJS 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2021-10-22 | SJS 5–3 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2019-10-25 | SJS 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to D
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 15th-most FP to D
Morgan Rielly
3games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 7th-fewest FP to D
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mario Ferraro or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Ferraro had 23 points in 82 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mario Ferraro or Morgan Rielly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Rielly leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ferraro and Rielly done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Ferraro's team went 6–4. Ferraro had 1 points (0 goals) and Rielly had 8 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →