Who to start · 2025-26
Mark Scheifele vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Scheifele had 103 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Scheifele has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Scheifele's 1.6.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 21 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Scheifele's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.3, Luck Meter +67, On-ice PDO 1022.
Aho's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%.
Head to head on the dot, Aho leads Scheifele 33–30.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mark Scheifele
2.23
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mark Scheifele has the edge.
| Points per game from | Scheifele | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.82 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.77 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.27 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Scheifele vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Scheifele 3G 5A, 27 SOG · Aho 4G 13A, 34 SOG
Scheifele's offensive zone 10–10 · neutral 10–7 · Scheifele's defensive zone 10–16 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
Scheifele blocked 2 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 0 of Scheifele's.
On the ice against each other (Scheifele's side)
16:59 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Scheifele's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–15
- 53.1%
- Expected goals
- 1.0–0.7
- 57.4%
- Goals
- 2–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Scheifele | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | WPG 1–5 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-11-21 | WPG 3–4 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-03-09 | WPG 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-04 | WPG 3–0 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-02 | WPG 5–3 CAR | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-12-04 | WPG 2–1 CAR | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2023-03-14 | WPG 3–5 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-11-21 | WPG 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 3A 2S |
| 2021-12-07 | WPG 2–4 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 7S |
| 2020-01-21 | WPG 1–4 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2019-12-17 | WPG 3–6 CAR | 1G 0A 6S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2019-03-08 | WPG 8–1 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 15 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mark Scheifele
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOSOpp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CLikely vs John Gibson (.901)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mark Scheifele or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mark Scheifele projects to 2.23 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Scheifele had 103 points in 82 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mark Scheifele or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 21 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Scheifele and Aho done against each other?
- In 15 games against each other in our data, Scheifele's team went 8–7. Scheifele had 8 points (3 goals) and Aho had 17 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Scheifele or Aho?
- Against each other, Scheifele has won 30 and Aho 33 of their 63 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →