Who to start · 2025-26
Mason McTavish vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mason McTavish's 1.46.
McTavish had 41 points in 75 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week McTavish has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to McTavish's 1.4.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
McTavish's biggest edges: Ascension score 68, Hits 95, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.059.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Plus/minus +57, 20+ mph bursts 455, On-ice PDO 1054.
Head to head on the dot, McTavish leads MacKinnon 13–6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mason McTavish
1.46
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | McTavish | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.55 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.30 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.07 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.20 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McTavish vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McTavish 1G 0A, 18 SOG · MacKinnon 5G 13A, 42 SOG
McTavish's offensive zone 4–3 · neutral 5–3 · McTavish's defensive zone 4–0 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
McTavish blocked 0 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 1 of McTavish's.
On the ice against each other (McTavish's side)
5:04 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from McTavish's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–4
- 63.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.4
- 60.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McTavish | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | ANA 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-11-11 | ANA 1–4 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2024-12-20 | ANA 2–4 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 2A 3S |
| 2024-10-18 | ANA 3–4 COL | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 1A 9S |
| 2023-12-02 | ANA 4–3 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2023-11-15 | ANA 2–8 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2023-04-09 | ANA 4–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 9S |
| 2023-03-27 | ANA 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-26 | ANA 5–3 COL | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mason McTavish
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.4 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −16.8 win%vs Mackenzie Blackwood (.903)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mason McTavish or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mason McTavish's 1.46. McTavish had 41 points in 75 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mason McTavish or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McTavish and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, McTavish's team went 2–7. McTavish had 1 points (1 goals) and MacKinnon had 18 (5 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McTavish or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, McTavish has won 13 and MacKinnon 6 of their 19 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →