Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mathew Barzal vs Matt Roy

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54.

Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games.

This week Barzal has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Roy has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Roy for 1.8 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 25 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Barzal's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.4%, Penalty minutes 61, Offensive-zone start % 62.4%.

Roy's biggest edges: Hits 117, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.18, Hardest shot 96.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Matt Roy

1.46

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mathew Barzal has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBarzalRoy
Goals (+2)0.470.05
Assists (+1)0.650.22
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.00
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.12
Hits (+0.1)0.040.15
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.92

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Barzal vs Roy

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarzalRoy
3Team record in 10 meetings7
5Points in those games6

Barzal 3G 2A, 17 SOG · Roy 2G 4A, 15 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other2

Barzal blocked 1 of Roy's shots; Roy blocked 2 of Barzal's.

On the ice against each other (Barzal's side)

18:45 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Barzal's side

Shot attempts
15–17
46.9%
Expected goals
0.7–1.2
38.0%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Mathew Barzal and Matt Roy
DateScoreBarzalRoy
2026-02-02NYI 1–4 WSH1G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-11-30NYI 1–4 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-31NYI 3–1 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-10-11NYI 2–4 WSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-03-11NYI 0–3 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-09NYI 3–2 LAK0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-26NYI 2–5 LAK0G 1A 2S1G 1A 2S
2022-01-27NYI 2–3 LAK1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2020-02-06NYI 5–3 LAK0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2019-11-27NYI 1–4 LAK0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarzalRoy

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Mathew Barzal or Matt Roy in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Roy's 1.54. Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Roy had 19 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mathew Barzal or Matt Roy?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 25 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barzal and Roy done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Barzal's team went 3–7. Barzal had 5 points (3 goals) and Roy had 6 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →