Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mathew Barzal vs Pavel Dorofeyev

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82.

Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games.

This week Barzal has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dorofeyev has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Barzal for 1.4 ESPN points to Dorofeyev's 1.4.

Pavel Dorofeyev has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Barzal's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 210, Forecheck xG /60 0.36, 20+ mph bursts 313.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.65, Hardest shot 93.3, Goals above expected +2.5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Pavel Dorofeyev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBarzalDorofeyev
Goals (+2)0.470.90
Assists (+1)0.650.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.28
Hits (+0.1)0.040.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Barzal vs Dorofeyev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarzalDorofeyev
3Team record in 5 meetings2
4Points in those games2

Barzal 2G 2A, 13 SOG · Dorofeyev 2G 0A, 13 SOG

On the ice against each other (Barzal's side)

6:28 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Barzal's side

Shot attempts
6–8
42.9%
Expected goals
0.3–0.2
59.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mathew Barzal and Pavel Dorofeyev
DateScoreBarzalDorofeyev
2025-12-09NYI 5–4 VGK0G 1A 2S1G 0A 5S
2025-11-13NYI 4–3 VGK1G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-09NYI 4–0 VGK0G 1A 3S0G 0A 3S
2024-01-23NYI 2–3 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-06NYI 2–5 VGK1G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarzalDorofeyev

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to C

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RW
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RW
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Mathew Barzal or Pavel Dorofeyev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Dorofeyev projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82. Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mathew Barzal or Pavel Dorofeyev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Dorofeyev leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barzal and Dorofeyev done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Barzal's team went 3–2. Barzal had 4 points (2 goals) and Dorofeyev had 2 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →