Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mathew Barzal vs Quinn Hughes

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Quinn Hughes projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82.

Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Hughes had 76 in 74 games.

This week Barzal has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hughes has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hughes for 1.7 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Quinn Hughes has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Barzal's biggest edges: Plus/minus +10, Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Penalty minutes 61.

Hughes's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 0.60, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.47, Hardest shot 95.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Quinn Hughes

2.20

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Quinn Hughes has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBarzalHughes
Goals (+2)0.470.19
Assists (+1)0.650.93
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.23
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.25
Hits (+0.1)0.040.01
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.59

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Barzal vs Hughes

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarzalHughes
2Team record in 7 meetings5
11Points in those games13

Barzal 2G 9A, 25 SOG · Hughes 4G 9A, 24 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Barzal blocked 0 of Hughes's shots; Hughes blocked 1 of Barzal's.

On the ice against each other (Barzal's side)

5:51 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Barzal's side

Shot attempts
7–6
53.8%
Expected goals
0.1–0.3
26.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mathew Barzal and Quinn Hughes
DateScoreBarzalHughes
2026-01-10NYI 4–3 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 3A 8S
2024-01-09NYI 2–5 VAN0G 1A 4S1G 0A 2S
2023-11-15NYI 3–4 VAN0G 2A 6S1G 2A 6S
2023-02-09NYI 5–6 VAN1G 2A 1S0G 2A 1S
2023-01-03NYI 6–2 VAN1G 2A 1S0G 1A 2S
2020-03-10NYI 4–5 VAN0G 1A 7S0G 1A 2S
2020-02-01NYI 3–4 VAN0G 1A 4S2G 0A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarzalHughes

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

Quinn Hughes

2games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.7 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Mathew Barzal or Quinn Hughes in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Quinn Hughes projects to 2.16 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mathew Barzal's 1.82. Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Hughes had 76 in 74 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mathew Barzal or Quinn Hughes?
On 2025-26 numbers, Quinn Hughes leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barzal and Hughes done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Barzal's team went 2–5. Barzal had 11 points (2 goals) and Hughes had 13 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →