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Who to start · 2025-26

Mathew Barzal vs Ryan Leonard

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Leonard's 1.59.

Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Leonard had 45 in 75 games.

This week Barzal has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Leonard has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Leonard for 1.8 ESPN points to Barzal's 1.4.

Mathew Barzal has the better number in 23 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Barzal's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.36, Offensive-zone time 45.4%, Corsi 51.6%.

Leonard's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.71, Hardest shot 93.9, Hits 124.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mathew Barzal

1.82

fantasy points per game

Ryan Leonard

1.50

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mathew Barzal has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBarzalLeonard
Goals (+2)0.470.53
Assists (+1)0.650.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.230.20
Hits (+0.1)0.040.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.310.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Barzal vs Leonard

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2025-26 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarzalLeonard
1Team record in 4 meetings3
2Points in those games2

Barzal 2G 0A, 8 SOG · Leonard 1G 1A, 5 SOG

On the ice against each other (Barzal's side)

7:28 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Barzal's side

Shot attempts
21–1
95.5%
Expected goals
1.0–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mathew Barzal and Ryan Leonard
DateScoreBarzalLeonard
2026-02-02NYI 1–4 WSH1G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-30NYI 1–4 WSH0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-31NYI 3–1 WSH1G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-11NYI 2–4 WSH0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarzalLeonard

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mathew Barzal

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ TOR
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Anthony Stolarz (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.4 pts
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +4.1 win%vs Nico Daws (.908)

Ryan Leonard

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

FAQ

Should I start Mathew Barzal or Ryan Leonard in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Leonard's 1.59. Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Leonard had 45 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mathew Barzal or Ryan Leonard?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 23 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barzal and Leonard done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Barzal's team went 1–3. Barzal had 2 points (2 goals) and Leonard had 2 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →