Who to start · 2025-26
Mathew Barzal vs Trevor Zegras
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.
Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.
This week Barzal has 1 game left; Zegras has 1 left. We project Barzal for 1.8 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.7.
Mathew Barzal has the better number in 22 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Barzal's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 313, Blocked shots 50, Plus/minus +10.
Zegras's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.69, Goals above expected +2.5, High-danger chances 56.6%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mathew Barzal
1.82
fantasy points per game
Trevor Zegras
1.73
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mathew Barzal has the edge.
| Points per game from | Barzal | Zegras |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.51 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.31 | 0.17 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Barzal vs Zegras
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Barzal 2G 5A, 14 SOG · Zegras 3G 2A, 13 SOG
Barzal's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · Barzal's defensive zone 0–0 (2022-23)
On the ice against each other (Barzal's side)
13:56 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Barzal's side
- Shot attempts
- 12–5
- 70.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.3
- 62.3%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Barzal | Zegras |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | NYI 1–4 PHI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-01-26 | NYI 4–0 PHI | 1G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-28 | NYI 3–4 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-10-25 | NYI 3–4 PHI | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 1A 3S |
| 2024-10-29 | NYI 1–3 ANA | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-15 | NYI 7–1 ANA | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-13 | NYI 4–3 ANA | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mathew Barzal
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 @ TORSchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs NJD1.8 pts
Trevor Zegras
3games (1 left)
1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BSchedule edge −9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.7 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mathew Barzal or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mathew Barzal projects to 1.82 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Barzal had 72 points in 81 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mathew Barzal or Trevor Zegras?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mathew Barzal leads in 22 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Barzal and Zegras done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Barzal's team went 3–4. Barzal had 7 points (2 goals) and Zegras had 5 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Barzal or Zegras?
- Against each other, Barzal has won 1 and Zegras 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →