Who to start · 2025-26
Matt Boldy vs Nathan MacKinnon
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Boldy's 2.55.
Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.
This week Boldy has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Boldy's 1.8.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 28 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Boldy's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.38, Shorthanded points 4, Blocked shots 58.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Top skating speed 24.8, Offensive-zone start % 71.8%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matt Boldy
2.55
fantasy points per game
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | Boldy | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 1.49 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.53 | 0.87 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Boldy vs MacKinnon
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Boldy 4G 10A, 72 SOG · MacKinnon 18G 19A, 115 SOG
Boldy's offensive zone 3–2 · neutral 1–2 · Boldy's defensive zone 0–0 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
Boldy blocked 0 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 2 of Boldy's.
On the ice against each other (Boldy's side)
54:34 at 5-on-5 over 9 games, 2025-26, from Boldy's side
- Shot attempts
- 56–67
- 45.5%
- Expected goals
- 1.7–2.7
- 38.4%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Boldy | MacKinnon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 · PO | MIN 3–4 COL | 0G 2A 5S | 1G 0A 9S |
| 2026-05-11 · PO | MIN 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-05-09 · PO | MIN 5–1 COL | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2026-05-05 · PO | MIN 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 5S |
| 2026-05-03 · PO | MIN 6–9 COL | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2026-03-08 | MIN 2–3 COL | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 9S |
| 2026-02-26 | MIN 5–2 COL | 2G 2A 10S | 0G 2A 8S |
| 2025-12-21 | MIN 1–5 COL | 0G 0A 5S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-28 | MIN 3–2 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-03-11 | MIN 2–1 COL | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-02-28 | MIN 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-20 | MIN 3–1 COL | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 0A 6S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matt Boldy
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSHOpp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 ptsOpp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matt Boldy or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Matt Boldy's 2.55. Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matt Boldy or Nathan MacKinnon?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 28 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Boldy and MacKinnon done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, Boldy's team went 7–15. Boldy had 14 points (4 goals) and MacKinnon had 37 (18 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Boldy or MacKinnon?
- Against each other, Boldy has won 4 and MacKinnon 4 of their 8 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →