Who to start · 2025-26
Matt Boldy vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Boldy has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left. We project Boldy for 2.7 ESPN points to Aho's 2.0.
They split the 36 stats both are ranked on 18–18.
Boldy's biggest edges: Goals above expected +8.4, On-ice PDO 1031, Blocked shots 58.
Aho's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.39, Offensive-zone start % 68.8%, Scoring chances 57.5%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Matt Boldy
2.55
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Matt Boldy has the edge.
| Points per game from | Boldy | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.04 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.36 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Boldy vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Boldy 5G 3A, 22 SOG · Aho 3G 2A, 24 SOG
Boldy's offensive zone 1–1 · neutral 1–0 · Boldy's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23 to 2024-25)
Boldy blocked 1 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 0 of Boldy's.
On the ice against each other (Boldy's side)
12:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Boldy's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–17
- 32.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.5
- 49.3%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Boldy | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | MIN 4–3 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-11-06 | MIN 3–4 CAR | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-02-06 | MIN 2–1 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-04 | MIN 4–0 CAR | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-27 | MIN 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-21 | MIN 5–2 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-01-19 | MIN 2–5 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-11-19 | MIN 2–1 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-02-12 | MIN 3–2 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Matt Boldy
2games (1 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS2.7 pts
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.0 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Matt Boldy or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Boldy projects to 2.55 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Boldy had 85 points in 76 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Matt Boldy or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 18–18 across 36 stats where both qualify.
- How have Boldy and Aho done against each other?
- In 9 games against each other in our data, Boldy's team went 6–3. Boldy had 8 points (5 goals) and Aho had 5 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Boldy or Aho?
- Against each other, Boldy has won 3 and Aho 1 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →