Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Matt Roy vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Roy projects to 1.54 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Roy has 1 game left; Tarasenko has 1 left. We project Roy for 1.5 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.5.

Vladimir Tarasenko has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Roy's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Plus/minus +18, Fenwick 50.9%.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.0, Luck Meter +35, Goals 23.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matt Roy

1.46

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vladimir Tarasenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRoyTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.050.61
Assists (+1)0.220.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.120.20
Hits (+0.1)0.150.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.920.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Roy vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RoyTarasenko
8Team record in 15 meetings7
3Points in those games12

Roy 1G 2A, 27 SOG · Tarasenko 5G 7A, 35 SOG

1Hits on each other4
2Shots blocked by the other1

Roy blocked 2 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 1 of Roy's.

On the ice against each other (Roy's side)

8:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Roy's side

Shot attempts
12–6
66.7%
Expected goals
0.5–0.4
56.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Matt Roy and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreRoyTarasenko
2025-12-16WSH 0–5 MIN0G 0A 1S2G 1A 4S
2025-10-17WSH 5–1 MIN0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-18WSH 4–1 DET0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-07WSH 5–2 DET0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-29WSH 2–4 DET0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-02LAK 3–2 OTT0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2023-02-26LAK 2–5 NYR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-10-31LAK 5–1 STL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-03LAK 3–2 STL0G 0A 4S0G 2A 3S
2021-10-25LAK 0–3 STL0G 0A 4S2G 0A 6S
2021-10-23LAK 3–7 STL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 5S
2021-03-17LAK 4–1 STL0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RoyTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matt Roy

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.5 pts

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.5 pts

FAQ

Should I start Matt Roy or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matt Roy projects to 1.54 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Roy had 19 points in 79 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matt Roy or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Vladimir Tarasenko leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Roy and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Roy's team went 8–7. Roy had 3 points (1 goals) and Tarasenko had 12 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →