Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Matthew Knies vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Knies has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Rielly for 1.5 ESPN points to Knies's 1.4.

Morgan Rielly has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Knies's biggest edges: Hits 152, Hardest shot 87.2, Luck Meter +36.

Rielly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Transition attempts /60 0.63, Offensive-zone time 43.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Matthew Knies

2.06

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matthew Knies has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKniesRielly
Goals (+2)0.800.25
Assists (+1)0.570.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.17
Hits (+0.1)0.180.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Knies vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KniesRielly
7Shots blocked by the other0

Knies blocked 7 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 0 of Knies's.

8Goals set up by the other6

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

376:09 at 5-on-5 over 75 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
351–439
44.4%
Expected goals
16.8–22.7
42.6%
Goals
22–27

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KniesRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Matthew Knies

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Matthew Knies or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Knies had 66 points in 79 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Matthew Knies or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Rielly leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →