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Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Ekholm vs Seth Jarvis

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43.

Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.

This week Ekholm has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Ekholm's 1.1.

Seth Jarvis has the better number in 20 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Ekholm's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, High-danger chances 58.3%, Blocked shots 125.

Jarvis's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 171, Power-play share 67.8%, Goals above expected −0.9.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Ekholm

1.59

fantasy points per game

Seth Jarvis

2.19

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromEkholmJarvis
Goals (+2)0.150.90
Assists (+1)0.430.48
Power-play points (+0.5)0.020.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.32
Hits (+0.1)0.080.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.760.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Ekholm vs Jarvis

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

EkholmJarvis
4Team record in 8 meetings4
4Points in those games3

Ekholm 3G 1A, 17 SOG · Jarvis 1G 2A, 22 SOG

4Hits on each other1
0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Ekholm's side)

11:20 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Ekholm's side

Shot attempts
10–14
41.7%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
45.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Ekholm and Seth Jarvis
DateScoreEkholmJarvis
2026-03-06EDM 3–6 CAR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-11-15EDM 4–3 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-01EDM 3–1 CAR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-22EDM 2–3 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-12-06EDM 6–1 CAR1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2023-11-22EDM 3–6 CAR1G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S
2023-01-05NSH 5–3 CAR1G 0A 1S0G 0A 6S
2022-02-18NSH 3–5 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

EkholmJarvis

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Ekholm

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Seth Jarvis

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Ekholm or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Ekholm's 1.43. Ekholm had 41 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Ekholm or Seth Jarvis?
On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 20 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Ekholm and Jarvis done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Ekholm's team went 4–4. Ekholm had 4 points (3 goals) and Jarvis had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →