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Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Samuelsson vs Mika Zibanejad

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mika Zibanejad projects to 2.27 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01.

Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Zibanejad had 78 in 81 games.

This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Zibanejad has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Zibanejad's 1.4.

Mika Zibanejad has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +41, Top skating speed 22.8, Forecheck xG /60 0.38.

Zibanejad's biggest edges: Power-play share 77.5%, Power-play time per game 3:14, Offensive-zone time 43.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Mika Zibanejad

2.27

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mika Zibanejad has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSamuelssonZibanejad
Goals (+2)0.440.81
Assists (+1)0.340.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.25
Hits (+0.1)0.160.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.34

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Zibanejad

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SamuelssonZibanejad
6Team record in 14 meetings8
3Points in those games17

Samuelsson 1G 2A, 9 SOG · Zibanejad 9G 8A, 38 SOG

0Hits on each other1
4Shots blocked by the other0

Samuelsson blocked 4 of Zibanejad's shots; Zibanejad blocked 0 of Samuelsson's.

On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)

13:14 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side

Shot attempts
13–14
48.1%
Expected goals
0.6–0.7
48.5%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Samuelsson and Mika Zibanejad
DateScoreSamuelssonZibanejad
2026-04-08BUF 5–3 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2026-01-08BUF 5–2 NYR1G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-10-09BUF 0–4 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-22BUF 8–2 NYR0G 0A 0S1G 0A 3S
2024-12-11BUF 2–3 NYR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 5S
2023-12-23BUF 3–4 NYR0G 0A 0S1G 2A 4S
2023-11-27BUF 5–1 NYR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2023-10-12BUF 1–5 NYR0G 0A 1S0G 3A 1S
2023-04-10BUF 3–2 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-31BUF 3–2 NYR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-11BUF 1–2 NYR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2022-03-27BUF 4–5 NYR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SamuelssonZibanejad

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Mika Zibanejad

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Mika Zibanejad in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mika Zibanejad projects to 2.27 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mattias Samuelsson's 2.01. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Zibanejad had 78 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Mika Zibanejad?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mika Zibanejad leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Samuelsson and Zibanejad done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 6–8. Samuelsson had 3 points (1 goals) and Zibanejad had 17 (9 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →