Who to start · 2025-26
Mattias Samuelsson vs Timo Meier
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74.
Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.
This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Meier has 1 left. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Meier's 1.9.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.
Samuelsson's biggest edges: Luck Meter +79, Goals above expected +4.6, Plus/minus +41.
Meier's biggest edges: Power-play share 52.7%, Corsi 54.3%, Offensive-zone time 43.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mattias Samuelsson
2.01
fantasy points per game
Timo Meier
1.74
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Samuelsson | Meier |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.14 | 0.35 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.93 | 0.32 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Meier
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Samuelsson 1G 1A, 17 SOG · Meier 2G 3A, 35 SOG
Samuelsson blocked 4 of Meier's shots; Meier blocked 0 of Samuelsson's.
On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)
20:04 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side
- Shot attempts
- 17–19
- 47.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.7
- 37.4%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Samuelsson | Meier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | BUF 2–1 NJD | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2025-12-21 | BUF 3–1 NJD | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2025-11-28 | BUF 0–5 NJD | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-02-02 | BUF 4–3 NJD | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-10-05 | BUF 1–3 NJD | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 8S |
| 2024-10-04 | BUF 1–4 NJD | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-10-27 | BUF 4–5 NJD | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2023-04-11 | BUF 2–6 NJD | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2023-02-18 | BUF 4–2 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-04 | BUF 6–3 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mattias Samuelsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
Timo Meier
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHIOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.9 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Timo Meier?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Samuelsson and Meier done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 5–5. Samuelsson had 2 points (1 goals) and Meier had 5 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →