Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mattias Samuelsson vs Trevor Zegras

Mattias SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonSabres · DefencevsTrevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Samuelsson has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Zegras has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Samuelsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Trevor Zegras has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Samuelsson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 98.1, Hits 132, Top skating speed 22.8.

Zegras's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Power-play share 62.3%, Power-play time per game 2:55.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mattias Samuelsson

2.01

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mattias Samuelsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSamuelssonZegras
Goals (+2)0.440.57
Assists (+1)0.340.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.020.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.140.19
Hits (+0.1)0.160.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Samuelsson vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SamuelssonZegras
4Team record in 5 meetings1
4Points in those games7

Samuelsson 1G 3A, 11 SOG · Zegras 4G 3A, 17 SOG

On the ice against each other (Samuelsson's side)

14:27 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Samuelsson's side

Shot attempts
15–19
44.1%
Expected goals
1.3–1.1
55.2%
Goals
3–2

Games against each other

Games between Mattias Samuelsson and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreSamuelssonZegras
2026-01-14BUF 5–2 PHI1G 0A 1S1G 0A 7S
2025-12-18BUF 5–3 PHI0G 2A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-03BUF 2–5 PHI0G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2023-02-15BUF 7–3 ANA0G 1A 4S0G 1A 1S
2023-01-21BUF 6–3 ANA0G 0A 2S2G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SamuelssonZegras

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mattias Samuelsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI2.0 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +12.2 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Mattias Samuelsson or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mattias Samuelsson projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Samuelsson had 41 points in 78 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mattias Samuelsson or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Trevor Zegras leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Samuelsson and Zegras done against each other?
In 5 games against each other in our data, Samuelsson's team went 4–1. Samuelsson had 4 points (1 goals) and Zegras had 7 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →