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Who to start · 2025-26

Mike Matheson vs Mikko Rantanen

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80.

Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.

This week Matheson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Rantanen for 1.6 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.

Mikko Rantanen has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matheson's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 −0.06, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.035, Faceoffs won 0.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Offensive-zone start % 63.2%, Power-play share 82.8%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mike Matheson

1.80

fantasy points per game

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMathesonRantanen
Goals (+2)0.170.64
Assists (+1)0.420.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.21
Hits (+0.1)0.070.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.960.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matheson vs Rantanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MathesonRantanen
5Team record in 13 meetings8
5Points in those games16

Matheson 3G 2A, 22 SOG · Rantanen 5G 11A, 40 SOG

0Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other0

Matheson blocked 1 of Rantanen's shots; Rantanen blocked 0 of Matheson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Matheson's side)

11:57 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matheson's side

Shot attempts
5–16
23.8%
Expected goals
0.2–1.0
17.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Mike Matheson and Mikko Rantanen
DateScoreMathesonRantanen
2026-01-04MTL 4–3 DAL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-11-13MTL 0–7 DAL0G 0A 2S0G 2A 3S
2025-02-25MTL 4–0 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-04MTL 2–1 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 7S
2024-03-26MTL 2–1 COL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-15MTL 4–3 COL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-13MTL 4–8 COL1G 0A 2S1G 1A 5S
2022-04-05PIT 4–6 COL1G 0A 1S0G 2A 1S
2022-04-02PIT 2–3 COL1G 0A 4S1G 1A 4S
2019-10-18FLA 4–5 COL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2018-12-06FLA 2–5 COL0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2017-12-14FLA 1–2 COL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MathesonRantanen

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mike Matheson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

FAQ

Should I start Mike Matheson or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80. Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mike Matheson or Mikko Rantanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mikko Rantanen leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matheson and Rantanen done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, Matheson's team went 5–8. Matheson had 5 points (3 goals) and Rantanen had 16 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →