Who to start · 2025-26
Mike Matheson vs Mitch Marner
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.86 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80.
Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.
This week Matheson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Marner has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Marner for 4.2 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Matheson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 90, Top skating speed 22.8, Hardest shot 100.6.
Marner's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.6%, High-danger chances 59.0%, Offensive-zone start % 66.6%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mike Matheson
1.80
fantasy points per game
Mitch Marner
1.86
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matheson | Marner |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.17 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.42 | 0.65 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.96 | 0.27 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matheson vs Marner
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matheson 4G 11A, 45 SOG · Marner 10G 19A, 75 SOG
Matheson blocked 7 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 3 of Matheson's.
On the ice against each other (Matheson's side)
9:59 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matheson's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–13
- 38.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.7
- 44.9%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matheson | Marner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | MTL 3–2 VGK | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-11-28 | MTL 4–1 VGK | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2025-04-12 | MTL 0–1 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2025-01-18 | MTL 3–7 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-11-09 | MTL 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 3S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-10-09 | MTL 1–0 TOR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 6S |
| 2024-04-06 | MTL 2–4 TOR | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-10-11 | MTL 5–6 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-04-08 | MTL 1–7 TOR | 0G 1A 2S | 2G 1A 5S |
| 2023-02-18 | MTL 1–5 TOR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-21 | MTL 3–2 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 6S |
| 2022-02-17 | PIT 1–4 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 2A 1S |
Latest 12 of 25 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mike Matheson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to DLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Mitch Marner
3games (2 left)
4.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHIOpp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA1.9 ptsvs Lukas Dostal (.888)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mike Matheson or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.86 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80. Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mike Matheson or Mitch Marner?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matheson and Marner done against each other?
- In 25 games against each other in our data, Matheson's team went 12–13. Matheson had 15 points (4 goals) and Marner had 29 (10 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →