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Who to start · 2025-26

Mike Matheson vs Morgan Frost

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.

This week Matheson has 1 game left; Frost has 2 left. We project Frost for 2.7 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.8.

Morgan Frost has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Matheson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 100.6, Plus/minus +9, Ascension score 56.

Frost's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Offensive-zone time 44.5%, Power-play share 62.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mike Matheson

1.80

fantasy points per game

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mike Matheson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMathesonFrost
Goals (+2)0.170.50
Assists (+1)0.420.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.010.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.17
Hits (+0.1)0.070.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.960.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Matheson vs Frost

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MathesonFrost
10Team record in 14 meetings4
10Points in those games10

Matheson 2G 8A, 25 SOG · Frost 5G 5A, 31 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Matheson blocked 1 of Frost's shots; Frost blocked 0 of Matheson's.

On the ice against each other (Matheson's side)

4:09 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Matheson's side

Shot attempts
6–3
66.7%
Expected goals
0.3–0.1
66.3%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Mike Matheson and Morgan Frost
DateScoreMathesonFrost
2026-01-07MTL 4–1 CGY0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-22MTL 2–1 CGY1G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-08MTL 0–1 CGY0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-27MTL 4–3 PHI0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-09MTL 9–3 PHI0G 2A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-28MTL 4–1 PHI0G 3A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-10MTL 2–3 PHI0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2023-03-28MTL 2–3 PHI0G 0A 1S2G 0A 5S
2023-02-24MTL 5–2 PHI0G 1A 5S0G 2A 2S
2022-11-19MTL 5–4 PHI1G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-24PIT 1–4 PHI0G 0A 3S1G 1A 3S
2022-01-06PIT 6–2 PHI0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MathesonFrost

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mike Matheson

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.8 pts

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.4 pts
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Mike Matheson or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mike Matheson or Morgan Frost?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Frost leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Matheson and Frost done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Matheson's team went 10–4. Matheson had 10 points (2 goals) and Frost had 10 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →