Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mikhail Sergachev vs Mitch Marner

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88.

Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games.

This week Sergachev has 2 games left with 2 tough matchups; Marner has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Sergachev for 3.0 ESPN points to Marner's 2.3.

Mitch Marner has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Sergachev's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.8, 20+ mph bursts 87, Transition attempts /60 0.49.

Marner's biggest edges: High-danger chances 59.0%, On-ice PDO 1019, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mikhail Sergachev

2.15

fantasy points per game

Mitch Marner

1.88

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikhail Sergachev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSergachevMarner
Goals (+2)0.240.52
Assists (+1)0.650.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.21
Hits (+0.1)0.060.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.810.28

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Sergachev vs Marner

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SergachevMarner
19Team record in 42 meetings23
22Points in those games51

Sergachev 1G 21A, 62 SOG · Marner 15G 36A, 127 SOG

2Hits on each other8
9Shots blocked by the other6

Sergachev blocked 9 of Marner's shots; Marner blocked 6 of Sergachev's.

0Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Sergachev's side)

53:18 at 5-on-5 over 9 games, 2025-26, from Sergachev's side

Shot attempts
35–64
35.4%
Expected goals
1.9–2.6
41.6%
Goals
3–3

Games against each other

Games between Mikhail Sergachev and Mitch Marner
DateScoreSergachevMarner
2026-05-01 · POUTA 1–5 VGK0G 1A 2S2G 1A 7S
2026-04-29 · POUTA 4–5 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2026-04-27 · POUTA 4–5 VGK0G 3A 1S0G 1A 2S
2026-04-24 · POUTA 4–2 VGK0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2026-04-21 · POUTA 3–2 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2026-04-19 · POUTA 2–4 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-19UTA 4–0 VGK0G 1A 0S0G 0A 4S
2025-11-24UTA 5–1 VGK0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-20UTA 1–4 VGK0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-10UTA 3–4 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-24UTA 2–3 TOR0G 1A 1S2G 0A 4S
2023-11-06TBL 5–6 TOR0G 1A 1S1G 3A 3S

Latest 12 of 42 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SergachevMarner

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mikhail Sergachev

3games (2 left)

3.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to DLikely vs Arvid Soderblom (.880)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ1.5 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −1.0 win%Likely vs Jet Greaves (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)

Mitch Marner

3games (1 left)

2.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to RWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.3 pts
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

FAQ

Should I start Mikhail Sergachev or Mitch Marner in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mitch Marner's 1.88. Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; Marner had 80 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mikhail Sergachev or Mitch Marner?
On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sergachev and Marner done against each other?
In 42 games against each other in our data, Sergachev's team went 19–23. Sergachev had 22 points (1 goals) and Marner had 51 (15 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →