Who to start · 2025-26
Mikhail Sergachev vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.
Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Sergachev has 2 games left; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project Sergachev for 4.2 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Sergachev's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.8, Hardest shot 99.0, Transition attempts /60 0.49.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1023, High-danger chances 53.8%, Plus/minus +8.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mikhail Sergachev
2.15
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mikhail Sergachev has the edge.
| Points per game from | Sergachev | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.24 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.65 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.81 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Sergachev vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Sergachev 4G 11A, 43 SOG · O'Reilly 8G 18A, 56 SOG
Sergachev blocked 1 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 2 of Sergachev's.
On the ice against each other (Sergachev's side)
24:25 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Sergachev's side
- Shot attempts
- 27–15
- 64.3%
- Expected goals
- 1.1–0.5
- 70.5%
- Goals
- 3–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Sergachev | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | UTA 4–1 NSH | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-24 | UTA 5–2 NSH | 0G 3A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-12-29 | UTA 3–4 NSH | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-10-11 | UTA 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-14 | UTA 7–3 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-10 | UTA 3–4 NSH | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-11-09 | UTA 0–4 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-07 | TBL 1–5 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-10 | TBL 5–3 NSH | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2023-04-29 · PO | TBL 1–2 TOR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-04-27 · PO | TBL 4–2 TOR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-24 · PO | TBL 4–5 TOR | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 2S |
Latest 12 of 27 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mikhail Sergachev
3games (2 left)
4.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs CHI
- Sat, Oct 3 @ CBJ2.1 ptsSchedule edge −1.0 win%
- Sun, Oct 4 @ NYRB2B2.1 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mikhail Sergachev or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikhail Sergachev projects to 2.15 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Sergachev had 59 points in 78 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mikhail Sergachev or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Sergachev and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 27 games against each other in our data, Sergachev's team went 11–16. Sergachev had 15 points (4 goals) and O'Reilly had 26 (8 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →