Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Mikko Rantanen vs Ryan O'Reilly

Mikko RantanenMikko RantanenStars · Right wingvsRyan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.

Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Rantanen has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 93, Offensive-zone start % 63.2%, Top skating speed 22.8.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Corsi 52.6%, Goals above expected +1.2, Faceoffs won 739.

Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Rantanen 27–22.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRantanenO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.640.58
Assists (+1)0.810.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.250.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.20
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Rantanen vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RantanenO'Reilly
22Team record in 37 meetings15
43Points in those games33

Rantanen 13G 30A, 114 SOG · O'Reilly 8G 25A, 84 SOG

22Faceoffs against each other27

Rantanen's offensive zone 17–19 · neutral 3–6 · Rantanen's defensive zone 2–2 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other1

Rantanen blocked 0 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 1 of Rantanen's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Rantanen's side)

13:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Rantanen's side

Shot attempts
8–14
36.4%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
63.3%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Mikko Rantanen and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreRantanenO'Reilly
2025-11-08DAL 5–4 NSH0G 1A 2S0G 2A 1S
2025-10-26DAL 3–2 NSH1G 0A 5S0G 1A 4S
2025-04-16DAL 1–5 NSH0G 0A 3S1G 2A 2S
2025-04-03DAL 5–1 NSH0G 2A 0S0G 0A 2S
2024-12-14COL 5–2 NSH0G 3A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-11COL 3–2 NSH1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-02COL 2–5 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-30COL 7–4 NSH0G 3A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-02COL 1–5 NSH0G 1A 1S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-20COL 3–4 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-12-11COL 3–2 STL3G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2022-11-14COL 2–3 STL1G 1A 4S0G 1A 3S

Latest 12 of 37 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RantanenO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Mikko Rantanen or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Rantanen had 77 points in 64 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Mikko Rantanen or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Rantanen and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 37 games against each other in our data, Rantanen's team went 22–15. Rantanen had 43 points (13 goals) and O'Reilly had 33 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Rantanen or O'Reilly?
Against each other, Rantanen has won 22 and O'Reilly 27 of their 49 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →