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Who to start · 2025-26

Miro Heiskanen vs Nathan MacKinnon

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Miro Heiskanen's 2.19.

Heiskanen had 63 points in 77 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games.

This week Heiskanen has 1 game left; MacKinnon has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Heiskanen for 2.2 ESPN points to MacKinnon's 2.2.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Heiskanen's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.037, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.06, Blocked shots 132.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Hardest shot 91.0, Corsi 57.6%, Goals above expected +4.3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Miro Heiskanen

2.19

fantasy points per game

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHeiskanenMacKinnon
Goals (+2)0.221.49
Assists (+1)0.660.87
Power-play points (+0.5)0.170.21
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.190.46
Hits (+0.1)0.030.09
Blocks (+0.5)0.930.21

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Heiskanen vs MacKinnon

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HeiskanenMacKinnon
15Team record in 30 meetings15
18Points in those games36

Heiskanen 6G 12A, 62 SOG · MacKinnon 15G 21A, 161 SOG

2Hits on each other1
10Shots blocked by the other4

Heiskanen blocked 10 of MacKinnon's shots; MacKinnon blocked 4 of Heiskanen's.

On the ice against each other (Heiskanen's side)

36:19 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Heiskanen's side

Shot attempts
18–46
28.1%
Expected goals
1.5–1.5
49.6%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Miro Heiskanen and Nathan MacKinnon
DateScoreHeiskanenMacKinnon
2026-04-04DAL 0–2 COL0G 0A 1S1G 0A 2S
2026-03-18DAL 2–1 COL0G 0A 1S0G 1A 5S
2026-03-06DAL 4–5 COL1G 1A 2S1G 2A 2S
2025-10-11DAL 5–4 COL0G 1A 1S1G 2A 4S
2025-01-18DAL 3–6 COL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-29DAL 5–3 COL0G 2A 2S0G 1A 5S
2024-05-17 · PODAL 2–1 COL0G 0A 4S0G 0A 6S
2024-05-15 · PODAL 3–5 COL1G 0A 1S1G 1A 2S
2024-05-13 · PODAL 5–1 COL1G 2A 3S0G 0A 4S
2024-05-11 · PODAL 4–1 COL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2024-05-09 · PODAL 5–3 COL2G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2024-05-07 · PODAL 3–4 COL0G 1A 3S1G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 30 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HeiskanenMacKinnon

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Miro Heiskanen

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to DSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

FAQ

Should I start Miro Heiskanen or Nathan MacKinnon in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Miro Heiskanen's 2.19. Heiskanen had 63 points in 77 games; MacKinnon had 127 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Miro Heiskanen or Nathan MacKinnon?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Heiskanen and MacKinnon done against each other?
In 30 games against each other in our data, Heiskanen's team went 15–15. Heiskanen had 18 points (6 goals) and MacKinnon had 36 (15 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →