Who to start · 2025-26
Mitch Marner vs Morgan Frost
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games.
This week Marner has 1 game left; Frost has 2 left. We project Frost for 2.7 ESPN points to Marner's 2.0.
Mitch Marner has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Marner's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, High-danger chances 59.0%, Sequence xG 56.9%.
Frost's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.083, Faceoff win % 56.8%, 20+ mph bursts 142.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mitch Marner
1.88
fantasy points per game
Morgan Frost
1.30
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mitch Marner has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marner | Frost |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.67 | 0.24 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marner vs Frost
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marner 6G 20A, 33 SOG · Frost 2G 0A, 24 SOG
Marner's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 2–0 · Marner's defensive zone 0–1 (2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Marner's side)
7:31 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Marner's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–4
- 69.2%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.1
- 78.0%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marner | Frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | VGK 6–3 CGY | 3G 2A 6S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-20 | VGK 3–6 CGY | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-10-18 | VGK 6–1 CGY | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-14 | VGK 4–2 CGY | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-03-17 | TOR 6–2 CGY | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-07 | TOR 3–2 PHI | 0G 2A 2S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2025-01-05 | TOR 3–2 PHI | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-15 | TOR 4–3 PHI | 0G 3A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-08 | TOR 6–2 PHI | 0G 3A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-22 | TOR 4–3 PHI | 1G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-04-19 | TOR 5–2 PHI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2022-04-02 | TOR 6–3 PHI | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mitch Marner
3games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
- Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
- Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN2.0 pts
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.4 pts
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mitch Marner or Morgan Frost in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mitch Marner projects to 1.88 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Marner had 80 points in 81 games; Frost had 43 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mitch Marner or Morgan Frost?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Mitch Marner leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marner and Frost done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Marner's team went 11–1. Marner had 26 points (6 goals) and Frost had 2 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Marner or Frost?
- Against each other, Marner has won 2 and Frost 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →