Who to start · 2025-26
Morgan Frost vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Frost has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Jarvis's 2.3.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 27 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Frost's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.0, Faceoffs won 601, On-ice PDO 992.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Plus/minus +6, Scoring chances 55.6%, Sequence xG 54.4%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Morgan Frost
1.37
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Frost | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.54 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.26 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Frost vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Frost 2G 8A, 25 SOG · Jarvis 4G 3A, 23 SOG
Frost's offensive zone 1–3 · neutral 0–0 · Frost's defensive zone 0–0 (2023-24)
On the ice against each other (Frost's side)
7:22 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Frost's side
- Shot attempts
- 4–8
- 33.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.2
- 6.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Frost | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | CGY 5–4 CAR | 1G 2A 4S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2025-11-30 | CGY 0–1 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-02 | CGY 1–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-05 | PHI 4–6 CAR | 1G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-03-21 | PHI 2–3 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-28 | PHI 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-15 | PHI 3–1 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-30 | PHI 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-03-18 | PHI 4–5 CAR | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-09 | PHI 0–1 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-23 | PHI 5–6 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-29 | PHI 3–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to C
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to C
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to C
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RW
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RW
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Morgan Frost or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Morgan Frost or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 27 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Frost and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Frost's team went 2–11. Frost had 10 points (2 goals) and Jarvis had 7 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Frost or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Frost has won 1 and Jarvis 3 of their 4 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →