Who to start · 2025-26
Morgan Frost vs Tom Wilson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.
Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games.
This week Frost has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Wilson has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Frost for 2.6 ESPN points to Wilson's 2.3.
Tom Wilson has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Frost's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Faceoffs won 601, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00.
Wilson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +15, Hardest shot 91.2, Scoring chances 56.3%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Morgan Frost
1.30
fantasy points per game
Tom Wilson
2.24
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Tom Wilson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Frost | Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.50 | 0.78 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.24 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.25 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.44 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Frost vs Wilson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Frost 1G 5A, 22 SOG · Wilson 2G 5A, 18 SOG
Frost's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–0 · Frost's defensive zone 1–0 (2023-24 to 2024-25)
Frost blocked 2 of Wilson's shots; Wilson blocked 0 of Frost's.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Frost | Wilson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | CGY 3–7 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-23 | CGY 1–3 WSH | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-02-25 | CGY 3–1 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-10-23 | PHI 3–6 WSH | 0G 0A 7S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-10-22 | PHI 1–4 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-04-16 | PHI 1–2 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-01 | PHI 2–5 WSH | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2023-12-14 | PHI 4–3 WSH | 0G 2A 4S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-01-14 | PHI 3–1 WSH | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-11 | PHI 5–3 WSH | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-04-12 | PHI 2–9 WSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-02-17 | PHI 3–5 WSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Morgan Frost
3games (2 left)
2.6proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs SEAOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 ptsOpp allows 6th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
- Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Tom Wilson
2games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 11th-most FP to RWLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows the most FP to RWSchedule edge −13.3 win%Likely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Morgan Frost or Tom Wilson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Tom Wilson projects to 2.24 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Wilson had 62 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Morgan Frost or Tom Wilson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tom Wilson leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Frost and Wilson done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Frost's team went 5–8. Frost had 6 points (1 goals) and Wilson had 7 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Frost or Wilson?
- Against each other, Frost has won 1 and Wilson 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →