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Who to start · 2025-26

Morgan Frost vs Vince Dunn

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30.

Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games.

This week Frost has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Dunn has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Dunn for 3.6 ESPN points to Frost's 2.6.

Morgan Frost has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Frost's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.2, Offensive-zone start % 67.6%, Top skating speed 22.7.

Dunn's biggest edges: Ascension score 54, Hardest shot 94.2, On-ice PDO 1012.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Morgan Frost

1.30

fantasy points per game

Vince Dunn

1.83

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Vince Dunn has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFrostDunn
Goals (+2)0.500.38
Assists (+1)0.240.51
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.22
Hits (+0.1)0.070.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.53

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Frost vs Dunn

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FrostDunn
4Team record in 12 meetings8
6Points in those games11

Frost 2G 4A, 26 SOG · Dunn 3G 8A, 26 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Frost blocked 0 of Dunn's shots; Dunn blocked 1 of Frost's.

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Frost's side)

14:55 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Frost's side

Shot attempts
20–11
64.5%
Expected goals
0.7–0.8
47.1%
Goals
1–2

Games against each other

Games between Morgan Frost and Vince Dunn
DateScoreFrostDunn
2026-10-01CGY 1–6 SEA0G 0A 2S1G 2A 2S
2026-04-11CGY 1–4 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 1A 2S
2026-01-05CGY 1–5 SEA0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2025-12-18CGY 4–2 SEA0G 1A 4S0G 0A 4S
2025-03-25CGY 4–3 SEA0G 1A 3S0G 1A 3S
2025-02-08CGY 2–3 SEA1G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-02-02CGY 3–2 SEA1G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-17PHI 4–6 SEA0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2024-02-10PHI 3–2 SEA0G 1A 2S0G 2A 2S
2023-12-29PHI 1–2 SEA0G 0A 2S1G 0A 2S
2023-02-16PHI 2–6 SEA0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-12PHI 3–4 SEA0G 1A 1S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FrostDunn

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Morgan Frost

3games (2 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs SEA
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ VAN1.6 pts
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CSchedule edge +3.5 win%Likely vs Leevi Meriläinen (.860)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ SEAB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Vince Dunn

3games (2 left)

3.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CGY
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ EDM1.8 pts
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs CGYB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Morgan Frost or Vince Dunn in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Vince Dunn projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Frost's 1.30. Frost had 43 points in 82 games; Dunn had 44 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Morgan Frost or Vince Dunn?
On 2025-26 numbers, Morgan Frost leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Frost and Dunn done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Frost's team went 4–8. Frost had 6 points (2 goals) and Dunn had 11 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →