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Who to start · 2025-26

Morgan Geekie vs Sebastian Aho

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Geekie's 1.90.

Geekie had 68 points in 81 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.

This week Geekie has 1 game left; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Geekie's 1.4.

Sebastian Aho has the better number in 24 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Geekie's biggest edges: Goals above expected +6.4, Ascension score 63, On-ice PDO 1019.

Aho's biggest edges: Scoring chances 57.5%, Fenwick 60.3%, Corsi 61.5%.

Head to head on the dot, Aho leads Geekie 12–8.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Morgan Geekie

1.90

fantasy points per game

Sebastian Aho

2.01

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Sebastian Aho has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromGeekieAho
Goals (+2)0.850.72
Assists (+1)0.370.59
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.17
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.04
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.25
Hits (+0.1)0.160.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Geekie vs Aho

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

GeekieAho
4Team record in 11 meetings7
11Points in those games8

Geekie 6G 5A, 17 SOG · Aho 2G 6A, 16 SOG

8Faceoffs against each other12

Geekie's offensive zone 2–3 · neutral 0–2 · Geekie's defensive zone 6–7 (2021-22 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Geekie's side)

10:05 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Geekie's side

Shot attempts
12–15
44.4%
Expected goals
0.7–0.9
42.4%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Morgan Geekie and Sebastian Aho
DateScoreGeekieAho
2026-04-07BOS 5–6 CAR3G 0A 4S0G 1A 3S
2025-11-17BOS 1–3 CAR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-01BOS 2–1 CAR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-05BOS 5–1 CAR1G 4A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-06BOS 2–3 CAR2G 0A 4S1G 0A 1S
2024-04-09BOS 1–4 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-04BOS 4–1 CAR0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-24BOS 2–3 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 2A 0S
2022-10-17SEA 1–5 CAR0G 0A 1S1G 2A 3S
2022-03-06SEA 2–3 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2021-11-24SEA 2–1 CAR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

GeekieAho

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Morgan Geekie

3games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Sebastian Aho

3games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Morgan Geekie or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Sebastian Aho projects to 2.01 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Geekie's 1.90. Geekie had 68 points in 81 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Morgan Geekie or Sebastian Aho?
On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 24 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Geekie and Aho done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Geekie's team went 4–7. Geekie had 11 points (6 goals) and Aho had 8 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Geekie or Aho?
Against each other, Geekie has won 8 and Aho 12 of their 20 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →