Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nathan MacKinnon vs Owen Tippett

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Owen Tippett's 1.73.

MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Tippett had 51 in 81 games.

This week MacKinnon has 1 game left; Tippett has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 3.2 ESPN points to Tippett's 1.8.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 71.8%, Goals above expected +4.3, Plus/minus +57.

Tippett's biggest edges: Hits 166, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.35, Shorthanded points 3.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Owen Tippett

1.73

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMacKinnonTippett
Goals (+2)1.490.61
Assists (+1)0.870.25
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.460.27
Hits (+0.1)0.090.24
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Tippett

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MacKinnonTippett
5Team record in 9 meetings4
14Points in those games10

MacKinnon 3G 11A, 27 SOG · Tippett 6G 4A, 24 SOG

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)

5:46 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side

Shot attempts
7–4
63.6%
Expected goals
0.2–0.2
59.3%
Goals
2–1

Games against each other

Games between Nathan MacKinnon and Owen Tippett
DateScoreMacKinnonTippett
2026-01-23COL 3–7 PHI0G 2A 1S3G 1A 4S
2025-12-07COL 3–2 PHI0G 1A 6S0G 1A 1S
2024-11-18COL 3–2 PHI0G 1A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-01-20COL 7–4 PHI2G 2A 4S0G 1A 0S
2023-12-09COL 2–5 PHI1G 0A 4S1G 1A 4S
2022-12-05COL 3–5 PHI0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2022-03-25COL 6–3 PHI0G 1A 3S0G 0A 6S
2021-12-12COL 3–2 FLA0G 2A 6S0G 0A 3S
2021-10-21COL 1–4 FLA0G 1A 0S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MacKinnonTippett

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL3.2 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

Owen Tippett

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.8 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Owen Tippett in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Owen Tippett's 1.73. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Tippett had 51 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Owen Tippett?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have MacKinnon and Tippett done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 5–4. MacKinnon had 14 points (3 goals) and Tippett had 10 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →