Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nathan MacKinnon vs Pavel Dorofeyev

Nathan MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonAvalanche · CentrevsPavel DorofeyevPavel DorofeyevRangers · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90.

MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games.

This week MacKinnon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Dorofeyev has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Dorofeyev's 1.4.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 27 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 681, 20+ mph bursts 455, Plus/minus +57.

Dorofeyev's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.034, Ascension score 53, High-danger chances 59.2%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 12 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Pavel Dorofeyev

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMacKinnonDorofeyev
Goals (+2)1.490.86
Assists (+1)0.870.33
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.18
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.460.30
Hits (+0.1)0.090.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Dorofeyev

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MacKinnonDorofeyev
5Team record in 13 meetings8
11Points in those games8

MacKinnon 1G 10A, 63 SOG · Dorofeyev 3G 5A, 29 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)

32:28 at 5-on-5 over 7 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side

Shot attempts
46–25
64.8%
Expected goals
2.1–0.8
73.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Nathan MacKinnon and Pavel Dorofeyev
DateScoreMacKinnonDorofeyev
2026-05-26 · POCOL 1–2 VGK0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2026-05-24 · POCOL 3–5 VGK0G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2026-05-22 · POCOL 1–3 VGK0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2026-05-20 · POCOL 2–4 VGK0G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2026-04-11COL 2–3 VGK0G 0A 6S1G 0A 4S
2025-12-27COL 6–5 VGK1G 2A 9S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-31COL 4–2 VGK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-04-08COL 3–2 VGK0G 1A 6S0G 0A 3S
2024-11-27COL 2–1 VGK0G 0A 10S1G 0A 4S
2024-10-09COL 4–8 VGK0G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2024-04-14COL 3–4 VGK0G 1A 4S0G 1A 4S
2024-01-10COL 3–0 VGK0G 1A 7S0G 0A 1S

Latest 12 of 13 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MacKinnonDorofeyev

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Pavel Dorofeyev

4games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows the most FP to RWLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Pavel Dorofeyev in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Dorofeyev's 1.90. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Dorofeyev had 64 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Pavel Dorofeyev?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 27 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have MacKinnon and Dorofeyev done against each other?
In 13 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 5–8. MacKinnon had 11 points (1 goals) and Dorofeyev had 8 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →