Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Hartman
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Hartman's 1.73.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Hartman had 43 in 76 games.
This week MacKinnon has 1 game left; Hartman has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 3.2 ESPN points to Hartman's 1.8.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 455, Offensive-zone start % 71.8%, Top skating speed 24.8.
Hartman's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.009, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.64, Blocked shots 95.
Head to head on the dot, Hartman leads MacKinnon 60–46.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Ryan Hartman
1.73
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | MacKinnon | Hartman |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.49 | 0.57 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.87 | 0.25 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.46 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.59 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Hartman
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
MacKinnon 32G 38A, 206 SOG · Hartman 12G 11A, 102 SOG
MacKinnon's offensive zone 15–19 · neutral 21–30 · MacKinnon's defensive zone 10–11 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
MacKinnon blocked 0 of Hartman's shots; Hartman blocked 5 of MacKinnon's.
On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)
63:00 at 5-on-5 over 9 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side
- Shot attempts
- 86–59
- 59.3%
- Expected goals
- 3.7–2.5
- 59.2%
- Goals
- 4–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | MacKinnon | Hartman |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 · PO | COL 4–3 MIN | 1G 0A 9S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-05-11 · PO | COL 5–2 MIN | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-05-09 · PO | COL 1–5 MIN | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-05-05 · PO | COL 5–2 MIN | 1G 2A 5S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2026-05-03 · PO | COL 9–6 MIN | 1G 2A 4S | 1G 0A 7S |
| 2026-03-08 | COL 3–2 MIN | 1G 0A 9S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-02-26 | COL 2–5 MIN | 0G 2A 8S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-21 | COL 5–1 MIN | 2G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2025-11-28 | COL 2–3 MIN | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-03-11 | COL 1–2 MIN | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-20 | COL 1–3 MIN | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-01-09 | COL 6–1 MIN | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 43 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL3.2 pts
Ryan Hartman
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
- Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.8 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Ryan Hartman in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Hartman's 1.73. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Hartman had 43 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Ryan Hartman?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have MacKinnon and Hartman done against each other?
- In 43 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 24–19. MacKinnon had 70 points (32 goals) and Hartman had 23 (12 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, MacKinnon or Hartman?
- Against each other, MacKinnon has won 46 and Hartman 60 of their 106 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →

