Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Timo Meier
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.
This week MacKinnon has 1 game left; Meier has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 3.2 ESPN points to Meier's 1.8.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Goals above expected +4.3, Luck Meter +52, Plus/minus +57.
Meier's biggest edges: Hits 131, Blocked shots 53, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.17.
Head to head on the dot, MacKinnon leads Meier 5–5.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Timo Meier
1.74
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | MacKinnon | Meier |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.49 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.87 | 0.24 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.17 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Meier
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
MacKinnon 13G 21A, 124 SOG · Meier 7G 13A, 85 SOG
MacKinnon's offensive zone 2–0 · neutral 0–2 · MacKinnon's defensive zone 3–3 (2017-18 to 2025-26)
MacKinnon blocked 2 of Meier's shots; Meier blocked 0 of MacKinnon's.
On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)
15:07 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side
- Shot attempts
- 13–24
- 35.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.9
- 34.9%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | MacKinnon | Meier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | COL 8–4 NJD | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-10-26 | COL 3–4 NJD | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-02-26 | COL 5–1 NJD | 2G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2024-12-08 | COL 4–0 NJD | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-02-06 | COL 3–5 NJD | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-11-07 | COL 6–3 NJD | 1G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2022-03-31 | COL 4–2 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-18 | COL 5–3 SJS | 0G 3A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2021-05-05 | COL 2–3 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-05-03 | COL 5–4 SJS | 0G 2A 9S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2021-05-01 | COL 4–3 SJS | 1G 1A 9S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2021-04-30 | COL 3–0 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 29 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL3.2 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Timo Meier
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs PHISchedule edge +9.3 win%
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.8 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Timo Meier?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have MacKinnon and Meier done against each other?
- In 29 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 18–11. MacKinnon had 34 points (13 goals) and Meier had 20 (7 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, MacKinnon or Meier?
- Against each other, MacKinnon has won 5 and Meier 5 of their 10 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →