Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Trevor Zegras
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.
This week MacKinnon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zegras has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 32 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.8, Draw Equity /100 +0.013, Hardest shot 91.0.
Zegras's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.036, Penalty minutes 62, High-danger chances 56.6%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Trevor Zegras
1.53
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | MacKinnon | Zegras |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.49 | 0.57 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.87 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.46 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Zegras
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2020-21 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
MacKinnon 5G 7A, 37 SOG · Zegras 0G 2A, 16 SOG
MacKinnon's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 1–0 · MacKinnon's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)
17:15 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side
- Shot attempts
- 28–16
- 63.6%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–1.6
- 23.1%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | MacKinnon | Zegras |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | COL 3–7 PHI | 0G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-07 | COL 3–2 PHI | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-10-18 | COL 4–3 ANA | 1G 1A 9S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-04-09 | COL 5–4 ANA | 2G 1A 9S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-03-27 | COL 5–1 ANA | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-26 | COL 3–5 ANA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-01-19 | COL 2–0 ANA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2021-03-16 | COL 8–4 ANA | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +13.4 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Trevor Zegras
3games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Trevor Zegras?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 32 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have MacKinnon and Zegras done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 6–2. MacKinnon had 12 points (5 goals) and Zegras had 2 (0 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, MacKinnon or Zegras?
- Against each other, MacKinnon has won 2 and Zegras 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →