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Who to start · 2025-26

Nathan MacKinnon vs Vladislav Gavrikov

Nathan MacKinnonNathan MacKinnonAvalanche · CentrevsVladislav GavrikovVladislav GavrikovRangers · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51.

MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games.

This week MacKinnon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Gavrikov has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project MacKinnon for 2.2 ESPN points to Gavrikov's 1.0.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Plus/minus +57, Transition attempts /60 1.83, On-ice PDO 1054.

Gavrikov's biggest edges: Shorthanded points 1, High-danger chances 56.6%, Blocked shots 104.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Vladislav Gavrikov

1.51

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMacKinnonGavrikov
Goals (+2)1.490.28
Assists (+1)0.870.21
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.03
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.460.13
Hits (+0.1)0.090.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.78

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Gavrikov

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MacKinnonGavrikov
11Team record in 15 meetings4
25Points in those games4

MacKinnon 8G 17A, 58 SOG · Gavrikov 0G 4A, 17 SOG

2Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other3

MacKinnon blocked 1 of Gavrikov's shots; Gavrikov blocked 3 of MacKinnon's.

On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)

23:29 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side

Shot attempts
29–22
56.9%
Expected goals
1.7–0.5
76.5%
Goals
3–0

Games against each other

Games between Nathan MacKinnon and Vladislav Gavrikov
DateScoreMacKinnonGavrikov
2025-12-06COL 3–2 NYR2G 0A 7S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-20COL 6–3 NYR2G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-27COL 4–0 LAK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-11-13COL 4–2 LAK0G 3A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-26COL 5–1 LAK1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-03COL 1–4 LAK0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-11COL 5–2 LAK1G 2A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-04-08COL 4–3 LAK0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2023-03-09COL 2–5 LAK1G 0A 8S0G 1A 1S
2022-11-05COL 5–1 CBJ0G 3A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-04COL 6–3 CBJ0G 4A 6S0G 0A 2S
2021-11-06COL 2–4 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 2A 0S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MacKinnonGavrikov

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

2.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to C
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%

Vladislav Gavrikov

4games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to D
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to D
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.0 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Vladislav Gavrikov in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladislav Gavrikov's 1.51. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Gavrikov had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Vladislav Gavrikov?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have MacKinnon and Gavrikov done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 11–4. MacKinnon had 25 points (8 goals) and Gavrikov had 4 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →