Who to start · 2025-26
Nathan MacKinnon vs Wyatt Johnston
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Wyatt Johnston's 2.41.
MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.
This week MacKinnon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Johnston for 2.5 ESPN points to MacKinnon's 2.2.
Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 30 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
MacKinnon's biggest edges: Corsi 57.6%, Fenwick 56.0%, Top skating speed 24.8.
Johnston's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.003, Blocked shots 55, Ascension score 47.
Head to head on the dot, Johnston leads MacKinnon 51–42.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nathan MacKinnon
3.32
fantasy points per game
Wyatt Johnston
2.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.
| Points per game from | MacKinnon | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.49 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.87 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Johnston
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
MacKinnon 18G 19A, 142 SOG · Johnston 10G 14A, 73 SOG
MacKinnon's offensive zone 11–13 · neutral 24–25 · MacKinnon's defensive zone 7–13 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
MacKinnon blocked 0 of Johnston's shots; Johnston blocked 2 of MacKinnon's.
On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)
31:37 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side
- Shot attempts
- 49–20
- 71.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.7–1.4
- 54.8%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | MacKinnon | Johnston |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | COL 2–0 DAL | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-18 | COL 1–2 DAL | 0G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-06 | COL 5–4 DAL | 1G 2A 2S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-11 | COL 4–5 DAL | 1G 2A 4S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2025-05-03 · PO | COL 2–4 DAL | 1G 0A 6S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-05-01 · PO | COL 7–4 DAL | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-28 · PO | COL 2–6 DAL | 1G 1A 7S | 2G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-26 · PO | COL 4–0 DAL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-04-23 · PO | COL 1–2 DAL | 0G 0A 9S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-21 · PO | COL 3–4 DAL | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2025-04-19 · PO | COL 5–1 DAL | 2G 1A 7S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-03-16 | COL 4–3 DAL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 28 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nathan MacKinnon
2games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL2.2 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Wyatt Johnston
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Wyatt Johnston's 2.41. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Wyatt Johnston?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 30 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have MacKinnon and Johnston done against each other?
- In 28 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 15–13. MacKinnon had 37 points (18 goals) and Johnston had 24 (10 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, MacKinnon or Johnston?
- Against each other, MacKinnon has won 42 and Johnston 51 of their 93 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →