Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Nathan MacKinnon vs Zach Werenski

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Zach Werenski's 2.59.

MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Werenski had 81 in 75 games.

This week MacKinnon has 1 game left; Werenski has 1 left. We project MacKinnon for 3.2 ESPN points to Werenski's 2.5.

Nathan MacKinnon has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

MacKinnon's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 39, On-ice PDO 1054, Plus/minus +57.

Werenski's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.055, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.09, Shorthanded points 2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Nathan MacKinnon

3.32

fantasy points per game

Zach Werenski

2.59

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Nathan MacKinnon has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMacKinnonWerenski
Goals (+2)1.490.55
Assists (+1)0.870.86
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.460.34
Hits (+0.1)0.090.04
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.62

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: MacKinnon vs Werenski

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MacKinnonWerenski
9Team record in 16 meetings7
20Points in those games7

MacKinnon 5G 15A, 74 SOG · Werenski 3G 4A, 62 SOG

2Shots blocked by the other0

MacKinnon blocked 2 of Werenski's shots; Werenski blocked 0 of MacKinnon's.

On the ice against each other (MacKinnon's side)

17:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from MacKinnon's side

Shot attempts
32–26
55.2%
Expected goals
1.3–0.8
62.1%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Nathan MacKinnon and Zach Werenski
DateScoreMacKinnonWerenski
2026-01-10COL 4–0 CBJ0G 0A 8S0G 0A 5S
2025-10-16COL 4–1 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-04-03COL 7–3 CBJ1G 2A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-12COL 4–6 CBJ1G 1A 3S1G 0A 3S
2024-04-01COL 1–4 CBJ0G 0A 9S0G 0A 6S
2024-03-22COL 6–1 CBJ1G 1A 7S0G 0A 6S
2022-11-05COL 5–1 CBJ0G 3A 4S0G 1A 2S
2022-11-04COL 6–3 CBJ0G 4A 6S0G 1A 3S
2021-11-06COL 2–4 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 0A 10S
2021-11-03COL 4–5 CBJ0G 1A 3S0G 0A 5S
2020-02-08COL 2–1 CBJ1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2019-11-09COL 4–2 CBJ0G 0A 4S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 16 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MacKinnonWerenski

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Nathan MacKinnon

2games (1 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL3.2 pts

Zach Werenski

2games (1 left)

2.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA2.5 pts

FAQ

Should I start Nathan MacKinnon or Zach Werenski in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nathan MacKinnon projects to 3.32 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Zach Werenski's 2.59. MacKinnon had 127 points in 80 games; Werenski had 81 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Nathan MacKinnon or Zach Werenski?
On 2025-26 numbers, Nathan MacKinnon leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have MacKinnon and Werenski done against each other?
In 16 games against each other in our data, MacKinnon's team went 9–7. MacKinnon had 20 points (5 goals) and Werenski had 7 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →