Who to start · 2025-26
Nikolaj Ehlers vs Parker Kelly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games.
This week Ehlers has 1 game left; Kelly has 1 left. We project Ehlers for 1.8 ESPN points to Kelly's 1.4.
Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.024, Power-play share 63.4%, Power-play points 28.
Kelly's biggest edges: Hits 177, Blocked shots 58, Luck Meter +72.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.65
fantasy points per game
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Nikolaj Ehlers has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ehlers | Kelly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.48 | 0.22 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.26 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.22 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.16 | 0.33 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ehlers vs Kelly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ehlers 7G 5A, 34 SOG · Kelly 2G 0A, 7 SOG
Ehlers blocked 0 of Kelly's shots; Kelly blocked 1 of Ehlers's.
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ehlers | Kelly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CAR 3–5 COL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-10-23 | CAR 5–4 COL | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-01-22 | WPG 3–2 COL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-01-11 | WPG 3–0 COL | 2G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-31 | WPG 2–5 COL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-11-07 | WPG 1–0 COL | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-30 | WPG 2–3 OTT | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2024-01-20 | WPG 2–1 OTT | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2023-01-21 | WPG 5–1 OTT | 1G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-04-10 | WPG 4–3 OTT | 1G 2A 7S | 0G 0A 0S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsSchedule edge −9.3 win%
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.4 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nikolaj Ehlers or Parker Kelly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Nikolaj Ehlers projects to 1.65 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Kelly had 35 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nikolaj Ehlers or Parker Kelly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ehlers and Kelly done against each other?
- In 10 games against each other in our data, Ehlers's team went 7–3. Ehlers had 12 points (7 goals) and Kelly had 2 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →