Who to start · 2025-26
Nikolaj Ehlers vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65.
Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Ehlers has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Ehlers's 1.8.
Nikolaj Ehlers has the better number in 17 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Ehlers's biggest edges: Goals above expected +3.6, Hardest shot 93.6, High-danger chances 54.1%.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Hits 81, Shorthanded points 6, Forecheck xG /60 0.39.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Nikolaj Ehlers
1.78
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Ehlers | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.63 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.55 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Ehlers vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Ehlers 3G 2A, 22 SOG · Jarvis 2G 2A, 21 SOG
Ehlers blocked 0 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 3 of Ehlers's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice together
220:42 at 5-on-5 over 38 games, 2025-26
- Shot attempts
- 263–197
- 57.2%
- Expected goals
- 11.8–8.7
- 57.5%
- Goals
- 12–9
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Ehlers | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-09 | WPG 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2025-02-04 | WPG 3–0 CAR | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-02 | WPG 5–3 CAR | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-04 | WPG 2–1 CAR | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-03-14 | WPG 3–5 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2022-04-21 | WPG 2–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2021-12-07 | WPG 2–4 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Nikolaj Ehlers
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 4th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Nikolaj Ehlers or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Nikolaj Ehlers's 1.65. Ehlers had 71 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Nikolaj Ehlers or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Nikolaj Ehlers leads in 17 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Ehlers and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Ehlers's team went 3–4. Ehlers had 5 points (3 goals) and Jarvis had 4 (2 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →