Who to start · 2025-26
Noah Dobson vs Sebastian Aho
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01.
Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games.
This week Dobson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Aho has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Aho for 2.2 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.
Sebastian Aho has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Dobson's biggest edges: Blocked shots 188, On-ice PDO 1014, Goals above expected +1.4.
Aho's biggest edges: Scoring chances 57.5%, Corsi 61.5%, High-danger chances 52.2%.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 1 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Noah Dobson
2.17
fantasy points per game
Sebastian Aho
2.01
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Dobson | Aho |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.28 | 0.72 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.41 | 0.59 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.04 | 0.17 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.16 | 0.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Dobson vs Aho
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Dobson 1G 12A, 68 SOG · Aho 17G 19A, 91 SOG
Dobson blocked 3 of Aho's shots; Aho blocked 3 of Dobson's.
On the ice against each other (Dobson's side)
42:19 at 5-on-5 over 8 games, 2025-26, from Dobson's side
- Shot attempts
- 43–49
- 46.7%
- Expected goals
- 1.8–2.2
- 45.3%
- Goals
- 1–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Dobson | Aho |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 · PO | MTL 1–6 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2026-05-27 · PO | MTL 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2026-05-25 · PO | MTL 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-05-23 · PO | MTL 2–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-05-21 · PO | MTL 6–2 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2026-03-29 | MTL 3–1 CAR | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2026-03-24 | MTL 5–2 CAR | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-01 | MTL 7–5 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 2G 3A 3S |
| 2025-03-30 | NYI 4–6 CAR | 0G 1A 4S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2024-12-17 | NYI 0–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2024-12-07 | NYI 4–3 CAR | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-04-30 · PO | NYI 3–6 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 35 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Sebastian Aho
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 ptsOpp allows 7th-most FP to CSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Noah Dobson or Sebastian Aho in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Sebastian Aho's 2.01. Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Aho had 80 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Noah Dobson or Sebastian Aho?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Sebastian Aho leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Dobson and Aho done against each other?
- In 35 games against each other in our data, Dobson's team went 12–23. Dobson had 13 points (1 goals) and Aho had 36 (17 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →