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Who to start · 2025-26

Noah Dobson vs Vladimir Tarasenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52.

Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games.

This week Dobson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Tarasenko has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Dobson for 1.6 ESPN points to Tarasenko's 1.2.

Noah Dobson has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Dobson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, 20+ mph bursts 65, Top skating speed 22.5.

Tarasenko's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.018, High-danger chances 49.3%, Goals above expected +4.0.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Noah Dobson

2.24

fantasy points per game

Vladimir Tarasenko

1.52

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDobsonTarasenko
Goals (+2)0.300.61
Assists (+1)0.440.32
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.20
Hits (+0.1)0.080.08
Blocks (+0.5)1.180.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Dobson vs Tarasenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DobsonTarasenko
6Team record in 12 meetings6
11Points in those games9

Dobson 2G 9A, 28 SOG · Tarasenko 5G 4A, 30 SOG

0Hits on each other2
1Shots blocked by the other2

Dobson blocked 1 of Tarasenko's shots; Tarasenko blocked 2 of Dobson's.

On the ice against each other (Dobson's side)

9:40 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Dobson's side

Shot attempts
12–8
60.0%
Expected goals
0.3–0.2
63.0%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Noah Dobson and Vladimir Tarasenko
DateScoreDobsonTarasenko
2026-02-02MTL 3–4 MIN0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2026-01-20MTL 4–3 MIN0G 0A 1S2G 0A 3S
2024-11-25NYI 2–4 DET0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-21NYI 1–2 DET0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-10-22NYI 0–1 DET0G 0A 4S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-28NYI 3–2 FLA0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2023-11-24NYI 5–3 OTT0G 1A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-26NYI 3–2 OTT1G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2022-12-06NYI 4–7 STL1G 1A 5S0G 0A 2S
2022-11-03NYI 5–2 STL0G 2A 2S1G 1A 5S
2022-04-09NYI 1–6 STL0G 0A 2S1G 2A 1S
2022-03-05NYI 2–1 STL0G 1A 0S0G 0A 6S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DobsonTarasenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

Vladimir Tarasenko

2games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.2 pts
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

FAQ

Should I start Noah Dobson or Vladimir Tarasenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Vladimir Tarasenko's 1.52. Dobson had 47 points in 80 games; Tarasenko had 47 in 75 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Noah Dobson or Vladimir Tarasenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Noah Dobson leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Dobson and Tarasenko done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Dobson's team went 6–6. Dobson had 11 points (2 goals) and Tarasenko had 9 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →