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Who to start · 2025-26

Parker Kelly vs Pavel Zacha

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Zacha projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.

Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Zacha had 65 in 78 games.

This week Kelly has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zacha has 1 left. We project Zacha for 1.0 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.

Parker Kelly has the better number in 19 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Kelly's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.46, High-danger chances 58.5%, Expected goals 58.0%.

Zacha's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 53.3%, Draw Equity /100 +0.035, Power-play share 65.7%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Parker Kelly

1.51

fantasy points per game

Pavel Zacha

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Pavel Zacha has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKellyZacha
Goals (+2)0.610.68
Assists (+1)0.220.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.130.18
Hits (+0.1)0.220.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.330.24

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kelly vs Zacha

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KellyZacha
5Team record in 11 meetings6
0Points in those games7

Kelly 0G 0A, 9 SOG · Zacha 3G 4A, 22 SOG

2Faceoffs against each other1

Kelly's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Kelly's defensive zone 2–1 (2024-25)

0Hits on each other2
0Shots blocked by the other1

Kelly blocked 0 of Zacha's shots; Zacha blocked 1 of Kelly's.

On the ice against each other (Kelly's side)

1:15 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Kelly's side

Shot attempts
1–1
50.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.0
—
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Parker Kelly and Pavel Zacha
DateScoreKellyZacha
2025-10-25COL 2–3 BOS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-10-18COL 4–1 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-25COL 1–3 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2024-10-16COL 3–5 BOS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-16OTT 3–1 BOS0G 0A 0S1G 0A 6S
2024-03-19OTT 2–6 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-25OTT 2–3 BOS0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2023-02-20OTT 1–3 BOS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2022-12-27OTT 3–2 BOS0G 0A 0S1G 0A 2S
2022-10-18OTT 7–5 BOS0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-26OTT 5–4 NJD0G 0A 2S1G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KellyZacha

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Parker Kelly

2games (1 left)

0.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Pavel Zacha

3games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.0 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

FAQ

Should I start Parker Kelly or Pavel Zacha in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Pavel Zacha projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Zacha had 65 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Parker Kelly or Pavel Zacha?
On 2025-26 numbers, Parker Kelly leads in 19 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kelly and Zacha done against each other?
In 11 games against each other in our data, Kelly's team went 5–6. Kelly had 0 points (0 goals) and Zacha had 7 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Kelly or Zacha?
Against each other, Kelly has won 2 and Zacha 1 of their 3 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →