Who to start · 2025-26
Parker Kelly vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Kelly has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
They split the 36 stats both are ranked on 18–18.
Kelly's biggest edges: Hits 177, Ascension score 55, Hardest shot 90.3.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoff win % 55.1%, Draw Equity /100 +0.056, Power-play time per game 2:50.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Parker Kelly
1.51
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kelly | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.61 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.22 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kelly vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kelly 1G 2A, 14 SOG · O'Reilly 3G 7A, 21 SOG
Kelly's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 1–3 · Kelly's defensive zone 1–0 (2024-25)
Kelly blocked 1 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 0 of Kelly's.
On the ice against each other (Kelly's side)
9:13 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Kelly's side
- Shot attempts
- 9–7
- 56.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.4
- 24.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kelly | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | COL 3–7 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 3G 1A 6S |
| 2025-12-13 | COL 4–2 NSH | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-12-09 | COL 3–4 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-11-22 | COL 3–0 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-02-22 | COL 1–2 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-12-14 | COL 5–2 NSH | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2024-11-11 | COL 3–2 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-02 | COL 2–5 NSH | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-02-27 | OTT 1–4 NSH | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-01-29 | OTT 4–3 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-08 | OTT 4–1 STL | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2022-02-15 | OTT 2–5 STL | 1G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MINOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 ptsOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Parker Kelly or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Parker Kelly or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 18–18 across 36 stats where both qualify.
- How have Kelly and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Kelly's team went 6–6. Kelly had 3 points (1 goals) and O'Reilly had 10 (3 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kelly or O'Reilly?
- Against each other, Kelly has won 2 and O'Reilly 4 of their 6 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →