Who to start · 2025-26
Parker Kelly vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51.
Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Kelly has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Jarvis has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Jarvis for 2.3 ESPN points to Kelly's 0.9.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Kelly's biggest edges: Luck Meter +72, Goals above expected +7.5, Blocked shots 58.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.093, Power-play share 67.8%, Power-play time per game 3:04.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Parker Kelly
1.39
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Kelly | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.51 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.17 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.13 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Kelly vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Kelly 2G 3A, 6 SOG · Jarvis 4G 4A, 23 SOG
Kelly's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Kelly's defensive zone 1–1 (2024-25)
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Kelly | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-23 | COL 4–5 CAR | 1G 0A 2S | 1G 1A 5S |
| 2024-12-05 | COL 3–5 CAR | 0G 1A 0S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2024-11-09 | COL 6–4 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2024-03-17 | OTT 2–7 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2023-12-12 | OTT 1–4 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-10-11 | OTT 3–5 CAR | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Parker Kelly
2games (1 left)
0.9proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAKOpp allows the most FP to CLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL0.9 ptsOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLAOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSHOpp allows 13th-most FP to RWLikely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.3 ptsOpp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −8.7 win%vs Joseph Woll (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Parker Kelly or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Parker Kelly's 1.51. Kelly had 35 points in 82 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Parker Kelly or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Kelly and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Kelly's team went 1–5. Kelly had 5 points (2 goals) and Jarvis had 8 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Kelly or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Kelly has won 1 and Jarvis 1 of their 2 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →