Who to start · 2025-26
Pavel Buchnevich vs Seth Jarvis
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30.
Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games.
This week Buchnevich has 1 game left; Jarvis has 1 left. We project Jarvis for 2.2 ESPN points to Buchnevich's 1.4.
Seth Jarvis has the better number in 26 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Buchnevich's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1000, Blocked shots 40, Faceoffs won 98.
Jarvis's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, Fenwick 59.7%, Plus/minus +6.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Pavel Buchnevich
1.39
fantasy points per game
Seth Jarvis
2.19
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Seth Jarvis has the edge.
| Points per game from | Buchnevich | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.49 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.35 | 0.48 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Buchnevich vs Jarvis
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Buchnevich 5G 2A, 20 SOG · Jarvis 4G 2A, 19 SOG
Buchnevich's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Buchnevich's defensive zone 0–1 (2024-25)
Buchnevich blocked 0 of Jarvis's shots; Jarvis blocked 1 of Buchnevich's.
On the ice against each other (Buchnevich's side)
7:26 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Buchnevich's side
- Shot attempts
- 8–13
- 38.1%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.4
- 43.9%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Buchnevich | Jarvis |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | STL 3–1 CAR | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2026-01-13 | STL 3–0 CAR | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-19 | STL 4–3 CAR | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2024-04-12 | STL 2–5 CAR | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 1A 2S |
| 2024-01-06 | STL 2–1 CAR | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-12-01 | STL 4–6 CAR | 1G 1A 1S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2022-03-26 | STL 2–7 CAR | 2G 0A 6S | 2G 0A 2S |
| 2021-11-13 | STL 2–3 CAR | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Pavel Buchnevich
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.4 pts
Seth Jarvis
3games (1 left)
2.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B2.2 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Pavel Buchnevich or Seth Jarvis in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Seth Jarvis projects to 2.19 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Buchnevich's 1.30. Buchnevich had 48 points in 81 games; Jarvis had 66 in 71 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Pavel Buchnevich or Seth Jarvis?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Seth Jarvis leads in 26 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Buchnevich and Jarvis done against each other?
- In 8 games against each other in our data, Buchnevich's team went 4–4. Buchnevich had 7 points (5 goals) and Jarvis had 6 (4 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Buchnevich or Jarvis?
- Against each other, Buchnevich has won 0 and Jarvis 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →